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楼主: shichengati

[房产] 新加坡私宅市场未来三年(2012-2015)走势预测

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发表于 9-10-2012 10:14:28|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
精品文章。

对于马上准备买房的我来说,楼主提供了一套很系统的思考方式。

收益匪浅,感激不尽

特注册帐号浮出水面以示感谢:)
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发表于 9-10-2012 13:22:23|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
小狮租房
楼主太强了!学习了,谢谢分享!
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发表于 9-10-2012 23:23:01|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
留个爪子
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发表于 9-10-2012 23:52:27|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
楼主辛苦了!去年想找你买房的,结果你可能太忙了,呵呵,现在我跟别人买完房也成您同行了,先膜拜下前辈
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发表于 16-10-2012 22:18:10|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
SINGAPORE: The tender for a 99-year lease residential site at Tanah Merah Kecil Road has attracted 13 bids, the Urban Redevelopment Authority said.

Singapore-listed Fragrance Group and World Class Land Pte Ltd (WCL) jointly placed the highest bid of about S$285 million.

This also translates to S$676 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr).

World Class Land is a subsidiary of mainboard-listed firm Aspial Corporation.

The top bid is 1.8 per cent higher than the second bidder, Areca Investments Pte Ltd.

DWG Research and Consultancy said: "The bid is bullish in our view as market conditions have not changed significantly since the last GLS tender in February 2012 and the bid is 25.4 per cent higher than the last bid(Far East : ECO)."

Analysts said the top bid was also 139.7 per cent higher than the nearby Optima @ Tanah Merah site, which was sold at S$282 psf ppr in September 2008.

DWG added that Fragrance and WCL could be 'benchmarking' its expected selling prices above Optima @ Tanah Merah subsale prices which are between S$1,250 and S$1,300 psf.

Eugene Lim, key executive officer of ERA Realty Network said the high number of bidders reflect developers' optimism over the site, as well as its potential.

"Residential sites within walking distance of MRT stations have so far been a proven success formula. Projects are usually a sell-out," added Mr Lim.

Meanwhile, Colliers International said that "brisk sales data of recent suburban condominium launches" could have resulted in the enthusiastic response.

Since the site is located close to a predominantly landed residential area of Bedok Road, Simpang Bedok and Lucky Heights estate, developers could have seen the possibility of a sizeable number of downgraders from these properties.

Colliers expects a breakeven price of between S$1,000 to S$1,100 per sq ft.

The site area spans close to 14,000 square metres, with a maximum permissible gross floor area (GFA) of close to 40,000 square metres.

Fragrance and WCL further announced on Tuesday that they plan to incorporate a special purpose company in this joint venture, with each firm holding a 50 per cent shareholding interest.
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发表于 16-10-2012 22:20:59|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
(SINGAPORE) A 99-year leasehold plot at Bedok South Avenue 3 drew seven bids yesterday, with the top bid from joint bidders, Far East Organisation's F.E. Lakeside, Frasers Centrepoint's FCL Topaz, and Sekisui House Singapore, at $345.9 million, or $534.22 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr).

While the seven bids received may seem lacklustre, coming on the back of the hotly-contested site at Jervois Road which last week drew a whopping 17 bids, it does not signal waning interest, said Credo Real Estate executive director Ong Teck Hui.

'The absolute price of nearly $346 million is hefty and such sites are usually only contested by the bigger players. For example, the Mt Vernon site which fetched $388 million had only 5 bidders while the $408 million Jalan Lempeng site attracted 8 contestants,' he noted.

'The tender participation and bid prices show that developers are still confident of the market but are also realistic in pricing their bids in trying to secure sites,' he said. 'At $534 psf ppr, the top bid is in line with recent tenders for similar sites in suburban locations near MRT stations.'

The top bid of $534.22 psf ppr was a thin 1.5 per cent higher than the next highest offer of $526.34 psf ppr from UVD, a joint venture company between Singapore Land and UOL Group.

A third bid came from Kingsford Development, at $301.2 million, or $465.10 psf ppr.

An ACRA search shows that the company has three shareholders, of whom one is based in Shenyang, China.

The lowest bid came from Soilbuild Group, at $235.2 million, or $363.29 psf ppr.

Other bidders include MCL Land; a joint bid by Sunmaster Holdings, Intrepid Investments, and Hong Realty; and Mezzo Development.

The three joint venture partners who submitted the top bid - Far East Organization, Frasers Centrepoint, and Sekisui House - expect the site, which is located next to Bedok Court and has a maximum gross floor area of about 647,491 sq ft, to yield an estimated 600 units comprising a mix of one to four-bedroom apartments.

The partners had previously collaborated for the 992-unit Watertown in Punggol, of which 854 units have been sold since its official launch on January 20. In addition, Far East Organization and Frasers Centrepoint had previously worked together to develop the Waterfront Collection at Bedok Reservoir.

Li Hiaw Ho, executive director at CBRE Research said: 'The site is attractive enough to have garnered seven bids from developers. The top bid of $345.9 million or $534 psf ppr will work out to a breakeven cost of around $950 psf.'

Based on caveats lodged from November last year to date, it is likely that the units in the new residential project will be able to fetch around $1,100 psf, he said.
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发表于 16-10-2012 22:37:43|来自:新加坡 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
davidbin 发表于 16-10-2012 22:23
Land price $534.22 psf (ECO) ---- $676 (will be launched early 2013) ---- $791 (will be launched in  ...

什么意思?没看明白。
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发表于 30-11-2012 23:34:35|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
我近来看了一下私宅成交价格,2012年11月, 新加坡很多区域的私宅价格都在创新高。尤其是我看好的那几个区域,涨幅都不小。看来新加坡私宅上涨趋势已经确定了。

我上次写这个文章的时候还没有qe3,也没有限贷的新调控。这几个月虽然消息不少,缺没有挡住房价的继续上涨。

其实,我已经分析过了,土地供给不足就是主要原因。在其它方面做文章是没有用的。

新加坡似乎在2013年土地供应上仍然不会增加多少,不知道是怎么想的,太保守了。
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发表于 1-12-2012 08:53:57|来自:新加坡 | 显示全部楼层
继续看涨
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发表于 1-12-2012 10:44:46|来自:新加坡 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
shichengati 发表于 30-11-2012 23:34
我近来看了一下私宅成交价格,2012年11月, 新加坡很多区域的私宅价格都在创新高。尤其是我看好的那几个区 ...

因为政府要慢慢来开发。地可以慢慢卖,慢慢赚大钱。
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